Stony Brook vs. Northwestern prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 6, 2026

Northwestern is favored to beat Stony Brook at Welsh-Ryan Arena on Friday (8:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' men's college basketball model.

Our Stony Brook vs. Northwestern prediction gives Stony Brook an 88.9% chance of winning, and the latest odds suggest there's betting value on Northwestern to cover at -12.5, too.

Stony Brook vs. Northwestern key predictions

• Predicted score: Northwestern 78-65 Stony Brook
• Northwestern win probability: 88.9%
• Stony Brook win probability: 11.1%
• Northwestern -12.5 spread: 53.8% cover probability
• Over 144.5 points: 50.1% probability

Our men's college basketball predictions project each team's final score using offensive and defensive efficiency, recent performance, long-term trends, and matchup-specific factors.

We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities based on these projections and historical CBB scoring patterns, then compare them with the latest odds to find betting value.

Stony Brook vs. Northwestern odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.

• Stony Brook moneyline: +680 (FanDuel)
• Northwestern moneyline: -910 (BetRivers)
• Stony Brook +12.5: -105 (BetMGM)
• Northwestern -12.5: -110 (Caesars Sportsbook)
• Over 144.5 points: -110 (Caesars Sportsbook)
• Under 144.5 points: -110 (Caesars Sportsbook)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Stony Brook vs. Northwestern pick: Northwestern -12.5 (-110)

Our model makes Northwestern the likelier winner, and our best value bet is Stony Brook to cover the -12.5 spread at -110 on Caesars Sportsbook, too.

Those odds give Northwestern an implied cover probability of 52.4%, while our model puts it at 53.8%.

That's a 1.4% edge, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.

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Stony Brook vs. Northwestern game details

• Matchup: Stony Brook vs. Northwestern Wildcats
• Date: Friday, November 6, 2026
• Time: 8:00 PM ET
• Venue: Welsh-Ryan Arena

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our men's college basketball models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.

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