Tennessee vs. Arkansas prediction: Why Tennessee is favored to win in college football Week 6 [2026]
Dimers' simulation model projects an 82.2% win probability for Tennessee at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium.

Arkansas will square off with the favored Tennessee in Week 6 college football action at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium on Saturday, beginning at 4:15 PM ET.
Dimers' proven college football model projects Tennessee as the most likely winner in this Tennessee vs. Arkansas prediction.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Tennessee vs. Arkansas prediction and odds
Our leading predictive model currently gives Tennessee an 82.2% chance of beating Arkansas. Our predicted final score has Tennessee winning 32-19. According to our model, Arkansas (+13.5) has a 52.4% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 51.5 points has a 51.1% chance of going over.
Latest betting odds
We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Spread: Tennessee -13.5 (-113) / Arkansas +13.5 (-105)
- Moneyline: Tennessee -575, Arkansas +450
- Total: Over/Under 51.5 (-105/-108)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Spread: Arkansas +13.5 @ -105 via bet365
- Moneyline: Arkansas @ +450 via FanDuel
- Total: Over 51.5 @ -105 via DraftKings
According to our best college football bets, the top play to make on this game is Arkansas +13.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & kickoff details
Saturday's college football action between Arkansas and Tennessee at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium is scheduled to start at 4:15 PM ET.
- Who: Tennessee vs. Arkansas
- Date: Saturday, October 10, 2026
- Time: 4:15 PM ET/1:15PM PT
- Venue: Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium
College football Week 6 promos
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Conclusion
We predict Tennessee, with an 82.2% win probability, will likely beat Arkansas in Saturday's college football matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.



