Aug 28, 2026
Manchester United vs. Ipswich Town prediction, odds, Premier League picks [8/30/2026]
Read Article Aston Villa vs. Arsenal prediction, odds, Premier League picks [8/31/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Add Dimers on Google 
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Aston Villa vs Arsenal predictions for Premier League Monday.
Premier League action continues on Monday at 3:00 PM ET as Arsenal locks horns with Aston Villa at Villa Park.
Dimers' proven Premier League model projects Arsenal as the most likely winner in this Aston Villa vs. Arsenal prediction.
This article offers further insights into Monday's match, including best bets and picks.
For more, check out our view into the Premier League title race, and the best value bets to take in EPL futures right now.
Aston Villa vs. Arsenal prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's Premier League match between Aston Villa and Arsenal, forming part of our Premier League predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model suggests a 14.8% chance of Aston Villa winning, a 64.6% chance for Arsenal, and a 20.6% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 54.1% chance of going over, with a 50.8% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
Aston Villa vs. Arsenal odds
We have researched the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Moneyline: Arsenal -178, Aston Villa +575
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Aston Villa vs. Arsenal picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Moneyline: Arsenal @ -178 via Polymarket
- Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ -113 via Polymarket
According to our Premier League best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 2.5 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Aston Villa vs. Arsenal: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-0 Arsenal win being the most probable:
- Aston Villa 0-1 Arsenal (11.7% probability)
- Aston Villa 0-2 Arsenal (11.7%)
- Aston Villa 1-1 Arsenal (9.8%)
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 49.2% chance of both Aston Villa and Arsenal finding the net and a 50.8% chance that at least one doesn’t.
Aston Villa vs. Arsenal game-day updates and essential details
Monday's Premier League action between Aston Villa and Arsenal at Villa Park is scheduled to commence in the United States at 3:00 PM ET.
- Who: Aston Villa vs. Arsenal
- Date: Monday, August 31, 2026
- Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00PM PT
- Venue: Villa Park
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Aston Villa has a 14.8% win probability on Monday, Arsenal has a 64.6% win probability, and there is a 20.6% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Continue reading with Dimers Pro
Join now to unlock this article and get full access to our predictions and betting tools. Cancel anytime.
EARLY BIRD PRICE
6 months of Dimers Pro
Full football season covered
NFL + College Football
One payment. Renews in 6 months.
Your Pro access is locked in for 6 months. Cancel or pause anytime.
Access to every sport, all season long.
Everything in Dimers Pro - not just football
Already a Pro member? Log in
New here? See everything Pro includes
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
Advertiser disclosure
