Aston Villa vs. Nottingham Forest prediction, odds, Premier League picks [9/12/2026]

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Saturday's Premier League match between Aston Villa and Nottingham Forest, forming part of our Premier League predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model indicates a 48.4% chance of Aston Villa winning, a 26.7% chance for Nottingham Forest, and a 24.8% chance of a draw. Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 51.3% chance of going over., with a 53.9% probability that both teams score.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Nottingham Forest +233, Aston Villa +135
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (+104/-108)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Aston Villa @ +135 via Novig
• Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ +104 via Novig

According to our Premier League best bets, the top play to make on this game is Aston Villa to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score and BTTS projections

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

• Aston Villa 1-1 Nottingham Forest (11.8% probability)
• Aston Villa 1-0 Nottingham Forest (10.5%)
• Aston Villa 2-1 Nottingham Forest (9.4%)

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 53.9% chance of both sides finding the net and a 46.1% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's Premier League matchup between Aston Villa and Nottingham Forest at Villa Park is scheduled to begin in the United States at 10:00 AM ET.

• Who: Aston Villa vs. Nottingham Forest
• Date: Saturday, September 12, 2026
• Time: 10:00 AM ET/7:00AM PT
• Venue: Villa Park

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Aston Villa has a 48.4% win probability on Saturday, Nottingham Forest has a 26.7% win probability, and there is a 24.8% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Premier League prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.