Hull vs. Aston Villa prediction, odds, Premier League picks [9/5/2026]

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's Premier League match between Hull and Aston Villa, forming part of our Premier League predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently indicates a 24.3% chance of Hull winning, a 51.8% chance for Aston Villa, and a 23.9% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 53.3% chance of going over, with a 54.6% likelihood that both teams find the net.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Aston Villa -108, Hull +317
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-104/+100)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Hull @ +317 via Polymarket
• Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ -104 via Polymarket

According to our Premier League best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 2.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score and BTTS projections

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

• Hull 1-1 Aston Villa (11.3% probability)
• Hull 0-1 Aston Villa (10.3%)
• Hull 1-2 Aston Villa (9.7%)

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 54.6% chance of both sides finding the net and a 45.4% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's Premier League matchup between Hull and Aston Villa at MKM Stadium is scheduled to commence in the United States at 12:30 PM ET.

• Who: Hull vs. Aston Villa
• Date: Saturday, September 5, 2026
• Time: 12:30 PM ET/9:30AM PT
• Venue: MKM Stadium

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Hull has a 24.3% win probability on Saturday, Aston Villa has a 51.8% win probability, and there is a 23.9% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.