Hull vs. Aston Villa prediction, odds, Premier League picks [9/5/2026]

Hull will square off with Aston Villa in Premier League action at MKM Stadium on Saturday, commencing at 12:30 PM ET.

Dimers' proven Premier League model projects Aston Villa as the most likely winner in this Hull vs. Aston Villa prediction.

This article offers further insights into Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.

For more, check out our view into the Premier League title race, and the best value bets to take in EPL futures right now.

Hull vs. Aston Villa prediction and odds

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's Premier League match between Hull and Aston Villa, forming part of our Premier League predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model indicates a 24.2% chance of Hull winning, a 51.9% chance for Aston Villa, and a 23.9% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 53.3% chance of going over, with a 54.6% chance that both teams find the net.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Aston Villa -104, Hull +335
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-104/+104)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Hull @ +335 via Polymarket
• Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ -104 via Novig

According to our best Premier League bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 2.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score and BTTS projections

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

• Hull 1-1 Aston Villa (11.3% probability)
• Hull 0-1 Aston Villa (10.3%)
• Hull 1-2 Aston Villa (9.7%)

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 54.6% chance of both sides finding the net and a 45.4% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's Premier League game between Hull and Aston Villa at MKM Stadium is scheduled to commence in the United States at 12:30 PM ET.

• Who: Hull vs. Aston Villa
• Date: Saturday, September 5, 2026
• Time: 12:30 PM ET/9:30AM PT
• Venue: MKM Stadium

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Hull has a 24.2% win probability on Saturday, Aston Villa has a 51.9% win probability, and there is a 23.9% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.