Atlas vs. Guadalajara prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [10/10/2026]

Atlas will face Guadalajara in Liga MX action at Estadio Jalisco on Saturday, beginning at 9:00 PM ET.

Dimers' proven Liga MX model projects Guadalajara as the most likely winner in this Atlas vs. Guadalajara prediction.

This article offers further insights into Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.

Atlas vs. Guadalajara prediction and odds

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Saturday's Liga MX matchup between Atlas and Guadalajara, forming part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model indicates a 31.2% chance of Atlas winning, a 42.4% chance for Guadalajara, and a 26.4% chance of a draw. Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 53.0% chance of staying under., with a 51.6% chance that both teams find the net.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Guadalajara +110, Atlas +240
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-130/+100)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Atlas @ +240 via FanDuel
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +100 via FanDuel

According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score and BTTS projections

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

• Atlas 1-1 Guadalajara (12.6% probability)
• Atlas 0-1 Guadalajara (10.9%)
• Atlas 1-0 Guadalajara (9%)

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 51.6% chance of both Atlas and Guadalajara finding the net and a 48.4% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's Liga MX matchup between Atlas and Guadalajara at Estadio Jalisco is scheduled to commence at 9:00 PM ET.

• Who: Atlas vs. Guadalajara
• Date: Saturday, October 10, 2026
• Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
• Venue: Estadio Jalisco

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Atlas has a 31.2% win probability on Saturday, Guadalajara has a 42.4% win probability, and there is a 26.4% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Liga MX prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.