Club Tijuana vs. Cruz Azul prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [8/16/2026]

Liga MX action continues on Sunday at 11:00 PM ET as Cruz Azul takes on Club Tijuana at Estadio Caliente.

Dimers' advanced Liga MX model projects Cruz Azul as the most likely winner in this Club Tijuana vs. Cruz Azul prediction.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.

Club Tijuana vs. Cruz Azul prediction: Who will win?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's Liga MX game between Club Tijuana and Cruz Azul, forming part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently suggests a 26.7% chance of Club Tijuana winning, a 49.6% chance for Cruz Azul, and a 23.7% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 56.0% chance of going over, with a 57.5% probability that both teams score.

Club Tijuana vs. Cruz Azul odds

We have researched the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Cruz Azul +150, Club Tijuana +188

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Club Tijuana vs. Cruz Azul picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Cruz Azul @ +150 via Bet365
• Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ -110 via DraftKings

According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Cruz Azul to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Club Tijuana vs. Cruz Azul: Correct score and BTTS predictions

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

• Club Tijuana 1-1 Cruz Azul (11.1% probability)
• Club Tijuana 1-2 Cruz Azul (9.6%)
• Club Tijuana 0-1 Cruz Azul (9.2%)

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 57.5% chance of both sides finding the net and a 42.5% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.

Club Tijuana vs. Cruz Azul game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's action between Club Tijuana and Cruz Azul at Estadio Caliente is scheduled to begin at 11:00 PM ET.

• Who: Club Tijuana vs. Cruz Azul
• Date: Sunday, August 16, 2026
• Time: 11:00 PM ET/8:00PM PT
• Venue: Estadio Caliente

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Club Tijuana has a 26.7% win probability on Sunday, Cruz Azul has a 49.6% win probability, and there is a 23.7% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.