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Read Article Cruz Azul vs. Necaxa prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [4/26/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Editor
Get Cruz Azul vs Necaxa predictions for Liga MX Sunday.
Liga MX action continues on Sunday at 9:05 PM ET as Necaxa takes on Cruz Azul in the playoffs at .
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven Liga MX model predicts Cruz Azul as the most likely winner of the Cruz Azul vs. Necaxa game.
This article offers a closer look at Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.
Cruz Azul vs. Necaxa prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's Liga MX matchup between Cruz Azul and Necaxa, forming part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently indicates a 69.2% chance of Cruz Azul winning, a 13.0% chance for Necaxa, and a 17.8% chance of a draw.
Cruz Azul vs. Necaxa odds
We have sourced the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Market | Cruz Azul | Necaxa | Draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -375 | +900 | +500 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Cruz Azul vs. Necaxa picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Necaxa | +900 |
According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Necaxa to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Cruz Azul vs. Necaxa: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 2-0 Cruz Azul win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| CAZ 2-0 NXA | 10.6% |
| CAZ 2-1 NXA | 9.7% |
| CAZ 1-0 NXA | 9.1% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 54.0% chance of both sides finding the net and a 46.0% chance that at least one doesn’t.
Cruz Azul vs. Necaxa game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's matchup between Cruz Azul and Necaxa is scheduled to start at 9:05 PM ET.
- Who: Cruz Azul vs. Necaxa
- Date: Sunday, April 26, 2026
- Time: 9:05 PM ET/6:05PM PT
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Cruz Azul has a 69.2% win probability on Sunday, Necaxa has a 13.0% win probability, and there is a 17.8% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver specializes in sports betting analysis across the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. Drawing on advanced statistical models, simulations, and historical data, he produces game previews, betting picks, player prop analysis, and futures coverage to help bettors make more informed decisions.
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