Cruz Azul vs. Puebla prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [7/21/2026]

Cruz Azul will square off with Puebla in Liga MX action at Estadio Banorte on Tuesday, commencing at 9:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven Liga MX model predicts Cruz Azul as the most likely winner of the Cruz Azul vs. Puebla game.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Tuesday's match, including best bets and picks.

Cruz Azul vs. Puebla prediction: Who will win?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's Liga MX game between Cruz Azul and Puebla, forming part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently suggests a 72.8% chance of Cruz Azul winning, a 10.3% chance for Puebla, and a 16.9% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 59.4% chance of going over, with a 52.4% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.

Cruz Azul vs. Puebla odds

We have researched the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Cruz Azul	Puebla	Draw
-290	+800	+460

Total Goals

Over 2.5	Under 2.5
-165	+135

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Cruz Azul vs. Puebla picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Puebla @ +800 via DraftKings
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +135 via DraftKings

According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Puebla to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Cruz Azul vs. Puebla: Correct score and BTTS predictions

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 2-0 Cruz Azul win being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
CAZ 2-0 PUE	12.5%
CAZ 1-0 PUE	10.7%
CAZ 3-0 PUE	9.7%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 47.6% chance of both Cruz Azul and Puebla finding the net and a 52.4% chance that at least one doesn’t.

Cruz Azul vs. Puebla game-day updates and essential details

Tuesday's game between Cruz Azul and Puebla at Estadio Banorte is scheduled to begin at 9:00 PM ET.

• Who: Cruz Azul vs. Puebla
• Date: Tuesday, July 21, 2026
• Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
• Venue: Estadio Banorte

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Cruz Azul has a 72.8% win probability on Tuesday, Puebla has a 10.3% win probability, and there is a 16.9% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.