Juarez vs. Pachuca prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [9/4/2026]

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's Liga MX matchup between Juarez and Pachuca, forming part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently indicates a 32.4% chance of Juarez winning, a 42.6% chance for Pachuca, and a 25.0% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 53.6% chance of going over, with a 56.9% likelihood that both teams score.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Pachuca +110, Juarez +250
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-106/-114)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Juarez @ +250 via FanDuel
• Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ -106 via FanDuel

According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Juarez to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score and BTTS projections

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

• Juarez 1-1 Pachuca (11.8% probability)
• Juarez 0-1 Pachuca (9.1%)
• Juarez 1-2 Pachuca (9%)

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 56.9% chance of both sides finding the net and a 43.1% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.

Game info & kickoff details

Friday's Liga MX action between Juarez and Pachuca is scheduled to begin at 11:00 PM ET.

• Who: Juarez vs. Pachuca
• Date: Friday, September 4, 2026
• Time: 11:00 PM ET/8:00PM PT

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Juarez has a 32.4% win probability on Friday, Pachuca has a 42.6% win probability, and there is a 25.0% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.