Monterrey vs. Santos Laguna prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [7/18/2026]

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Written by Ryan Leaver

Get Monterrey vs Santos Laguna predictions for Liga MX Saturday.

Monterrey-Santos Laguna Predictions and Game Preview.
Monterrey vs. Santos Laguna Liga MX prediction for Saturday, July 18, 2026.

Monterrey will face Santos Laguna in Liga MX action at Estadio BBVA on Saturday, starting at 9:05 PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced Liga MX model predicts Monterrey as the most likely winner of the Monterrey vs. Santos Laguna game.

This article offers further insights into Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.

Monterrey vs. Santos Laguna prediction: Who will win?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's Liga MX matchup between Monterrey and Santos Laguna, forming part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model indicates a 70.0% chance of Monterrey winning, a 13.0% chance for Santos Laguna, and a 17.0% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 66.5% chance of going over, with a 56.7% chance that both teams find the net.

 

Monterrey vs. Santos Laguna odds

We have researched the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Monterrey Santos Laguna Draw
-200 +550 +380

Total Goals

Over 2.5 Under 2.5
-211 +160

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Monterrey vs. Santos Laguna picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

  • Moneyline: Monterrey @ -200 via BetMGM
  • Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ -211 via Bet365

According to our best Liga MX bets, the top play to make on this game is Monterrey to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

Monterrey vs. Santos Laguna: Correct score and BTTS predictions

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 2-0 Monterrey win being the most probable:

Final Score Probability
MNT 2-0 SLA 9.8%
MNT 2-1 SLA 9.5%
MNT 1-0 SLA 8%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 56.7% chance of both sides finding the net and a 43.3% chance that at least one doesn’t.

Monterrey vs. Santos Laguna game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's action between Monterrey and Santos Laguna at Estadio BBVA is scheduled to start at 9:05 PM ET.

  • Who: Monterrey vs. Santos Laguna
  • Date: Saturday, July 18, 2026
  • Time: 9:05 PM ET/6:05PM PT
  • Venue: Estadio BBVA

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Monterrey has a 70.0% win probability on Saturday, Santos Laguna has a 13.0% win probability, and there is a 17.0% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.

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