Pachuca vs. Puebla prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [8/17/2026]

Pachuca and Puebla will meet in Liga MX at Estadio Miguel Hidalgo on Monday, starting at 11:06 PM ET.

Dimers' advanced Liga MX model projects Pachuca as the most likely winner in this Pachuca vs. Puebla prediction.

This article offers further insights into Monday's match, including best bets and picks.

Pachuca vs. Puebla prediction: Who will win?

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's Liga MX game between Pachuca and Puebla, forming part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently suggests a 62.0% chance of Pachuca winning, a 17.2% chance for Puebla, and a 20.8% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 57.8% chance of going over, with a 54.0% probability that both teams score.

Pachuca vs. Puebla odds

We have researched the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Puebla +475, Pachuca -160

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Pachuca vs. Puebla picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Pachuca @ -160 via DraftKings
• Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ -143 via Bet365

According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Pachuca to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Pachuca vs. Puebla: Correct score and BTTS predictions

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 2-0 Pachuca win being the most probable:

• Pachuca 2-0 Puebla (10.3% probability)
• Pachuca 1-0 Puebla (10.1%)
• Pachuca 2-1 Puebla (9.9%)

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 54.0% chance of both sides finding the net and a 46.0% chance that at least one doesn’t.

Pachuca vs. Puebla game-day updates and essential details

Monday's game between Pachuca and Puebla at Estadio Miguel Hidalgo is scheduled to start at 11:06 PM ET.

• Who: Pachuca vs. Puebla
• Date: Monday, August 17, 2026
• Time: 11:06 PM ET/8:06PM PT
• Venue: Estadio Miguel Hidalgo

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Pachuca has a 62.0% win probability on Monday, Puebla has a 17.2% win probability, and there is a 20.8% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.