Pumas UNAM vs. Pachuca prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [7/18/2026]

Pumas UNAM and Pachuca are scheduled to meet in Liga MX on Saturday, starting at 7:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced Liga MX model predicts Pumas UNAM as the most likely winner of the Pumas UNAM vs. Pachuca game.

This article offers a closer look at Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.

Pumas UNAM vs. Pachuca prediction: Who will win?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's Liga MX matchup between Pumas UNAM and Pachuca, forming part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model indicates a 47.2% chance of Pumas UNAM winning, a 27.5% chance for Pachuca, and a 25.3% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 50.1% chance of going over, with a 53.2% likelihood that both teams find the net.

Pumas UNAM vs. Pachuca odds

We have sourced the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Pumas UNAM	Pachuca	Draw
+160	+195	+235

Total Goals

Over 2.5	Under 2.5
-115	-105

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Pumas UNAM vs. Pachuca picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Pumas UNAM @ +160 via Bet365
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ -105 via Bet365

According to our best Liga MX bets, the top play to make on this game is Pumas UNAM to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Pumas UNAM vs. Pachuca: Correct score and BTTS predictions

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
PUM 1-1 PCH	12%
PUM 1-0 PCH	10.7%
PUM 2-1 PCH	9.3%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 53.2% chance of both Pumas UNAM and Pachuca finding the net and a 46.8% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.

Pumas UNAM vs. Pachuca game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's game between Pumas UNAM and Pachuca is scheduled to start at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Pumas UNAM vs. Pachuca
• Date: Saturday, July 18, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Pumas UNAM has a 47.2% win probability on Saturday, Pachuca has a 27.5% win probability, and there is a 25.3% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.