Guadalajara vs. Monterrey Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Guadalajara vs. Monterrey Liga MX match on October 24, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIVE
90'
LIGA MX
Updating LIVE
LIVE
90'
Updating LIVE
LMX sport icon
LIGA MX
Guadalajara
1
:
1
Estadio BBVA
Monterrey
Estadio BBVA
MonterreyMON
Score Summary
GuadalajaraGCH
O. Pineda (90')
Red Card icon
D. Rossi (90')
Soccer ball icon
R. Alvarado (9')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Monterrey
    3.2%
  • Draw
    91.3%
  • Guadalajara
    5.6%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Red Card
    O. Pineda (Monterrey) sent off with a straight red card
  2. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Monterrey by D. Rossi
    1-1
  3. 88'
    Yellow Card
    D. Rossi (Monterrey) cautioned
  4. 82'
    Yellow Card
    P. Ruffin (Monterrey) cautioned
  5. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: L. Calderon replaces B. Gonzalez
  6. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: A. Chavez replaces D. Aguirre
  7. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Monterrey: L. Orellano replaces J. Corona
  8. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Monterrey: P. Ruffin replaces C. Garza
  9. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: J. Hernandez replaces O. Govea
  10. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: K. Castaneda replaces R. Marin
  11. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: E. Alvarez replaces R. Ledezma
  12. 56'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Monterrey: O. Torres replaces F. Ambriz
  13. 19'
    Penalty missed by L. Ocampos for Monterrey
  14. 9'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by R. Alvarado, assisted by S. Sandoval
    1-0

Guadalajara vs. Monterrey: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Guadalajara vs. Monterrey
  • Date: Saturday, October 24, 2026
  • Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio BBVA

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Guadalajara +200, Monterrey +130, draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-140/+114)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Guadalajara: 29.1%
  • Monterrey: 46.1%
  • Draw: 24.7%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Guadalajara 1-1 Monterrey (11.7%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Guadalajara vs. Monterrey? Prediction & correct score

Monterrey is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 46.1%.

The most likely correct score is Guadalajara 1-1 Monterrey.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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