Juarez vs. Necaxa Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Juarez vs. Necaxa Liga MX match on October 23, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
LIGA MX
FINAL
LMX sport icon
LIGA MX
Juarez
1
:
1
Estadio Victoria
Necaxa
Estadio Victoria
NecaxaNEC
Score Summary
JuarezJUA
O. Gonzalez (26')
Soccer ball icon
L. Dupuy (82')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Necaxa
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Juarez
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 86'
    Yellow Card
    O. Estupinan (Juarez) cautioned
  2. 82'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Juarez by L. Dupuy, assisted by D. Pina
    1-1
  3. 81'
    Yellow Card
    M. Zaleta (Necaxa) cautioned
  4. 81'
    Yellow Card
    Madson (Juarez) cautioned
  5. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Juarez: Ricardinho replaces J. Rodriguez
  6. 76'
    Yellow Card
    M. Pedroza (Necaxa) cautioned
  7. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: M. Pedroza replaces J. Carranza
  8. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: F. Mendez replaces L. Faravelli
  9. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Juarez: L. Dupuy replaces Guilherme Castilho
  10. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: E. Rodriguez replaces M. Espindola
  11. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: M. Zaleta replaces C. Vargas
  12. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Juarez: D. Garcia replaces J. Murillo
  13. 45'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: D. Leyva replaces J. Ruiz
  14. 45'
    Penalty missed by J. Carranza for Necaxa
  15. 26'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Necaxa by O. Gonzalez
    0-1

Juarez vs. Necaxa: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Juarez vs. Necaxa
  • Date: Friday, October 23, 2026
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Victoria

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Juarez +350, Necaxa -140, draw +290
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-154/+126)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Juarez: 21.3%
  • Necaxa: 56.6%
  • Draw: 22.1%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Juarez 1-1 Necaxa (10.3%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Juarez vs. Necaxa? Prediction & correct score

Necaxa is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 56.6%.

The most likely correct score is Juarez 1-1 Necaxa.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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