Cruz Azul vs. Necaxa Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Cruz Azul vs. Necaxa Liga MX match on August 28, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Cruz Azul
3
1
Estadio Victoria
Necaxa
Estadio Victoria
NecaxaNEC
Score Summary
Cruz AzulCRA
E. Rodriguez (83')
Soccer ball icon
J. Marquez (23')
Soccer ball icon
N. Ibanez (46')
Soccer ball icon
W. Ditta (53')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Necaxa
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Cruz Azul
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    P. Pedraza (Necaxa) cautioned
  2. 90'
    Yellow Card
    J. P. Torres Patino (Necaxa) cautioned
  3. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: J. Diaz replaces O. Campos
  4. 84'
    Yellow Card
    E. Rodriguez (Necaxa) cautioned
  5. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: C. Ebere replaces J. Paradela
  6. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Montes replaces A. Garcia
  7. 83'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Necaxa by E. Rodriguez, assisted by P. Pedraza
    3-1
  8. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: R. Cortez replaces D. Leyva
  9. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: L. Romero replaces J. Marquez
  10. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: J. Rodarte replaces R. Gonzalez
  11. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: G. Fernandez replaces N. Ibanez
  12. 67'
    Yellow Card
    J. Ruiz (Necaxa) cautioned
  13. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: P. Pedraza replaces L. Faravelli
  14. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: E. Rodriguez replaces O. Gonzalez
  15. 59'
    Yellow Card
    A. Garcia (Cruz Azul) cautioned
  16. 54'
    Yellow Card
    W. Ditta (Cruz Azul) cautioned
  17. 53'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Cruz Azul by W. Ditta, assisted by J. Paradela
    3-0
  18. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: R. Martinez replaces Naves
  19. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: J. P. Torres Patino replaces M. Espindola
  20. 46'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Cruz Azul by N. Ibanez, assisted by C. Rodriguez
    2-0
  21. 43'
    Yellow Card
    D. Leyva (Necaxa) cautioned
  22. 32'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: M. Zaleta replaces C. Vargas
  23. 23'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Cruz Azul by J. Marquez, assisted by C. Rodriguez
    1-0

Cruz Azul vs. Necaxa: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Cruz Azul vs. Necaxa
  • Date: Friday, August 28, 2026
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Victoria

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Cruz Azul +100, Necaxa +250, draw +265
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-144/+118)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Cruz Azul: 48.5%
  • Necaxa: 28.1%
  • Draw: 23.5%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Cruz Azul 1-1 Necaxa (10.8%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Cruz Azul vs. Necaxa? Prediction & correct score

Cruz Azul is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 48.5%.

The most likely correct score is Cruz Azul 1-1 Necaxa.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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