MLB player props today: Sunday's best props include Paul Skenes [9/6/2026]

Paul Skenes under 7.5 strikeouts (-144)

• Edge: 7.6%
• Probability: 66.6%
• Game: Angels vs. Pirates (1:35PM ET)

Our model has found value on Pittsburgh's Paul Skenes under 7.5 strikeouts. A probability of 66.6% gives this play an edge of 7.6% at -144 odds.

Justin Crawford to get a hit (-140)

• Edge: 4.4%
• Probability: 62.8%
• Game: Braves vs. Phillies (1:10PM ET)

Justin Crawford’s to get a hit prop shows a 62.8% probability and an 4.4% edge at -140 odds, according to our model.

Tyler Mahle under 4.5 strikeouts (-132)

• Edge: 3.9%
• Probability: 60.8%
• Game: Braves vs. Phillies (1:10PM ET)

The data highlights value on Tyler Mahle under 4.5 strikeouts, with simulations showing a 60.8% probability and a 3.9% edge at -132.

Tyler Mahle under 15.5 outs recorded (-111)

• Edge: 6.8%
• Probability: 59.4%
• Game: Braves vs. Phillies (1:10PM ET)

Our model finds value on Tyler Mahle under 15.5 outs recorded, with a 59.4% probability and an edge of 6.8% at -111 odds.

Aaron Nola under 5.5 strikeouts (+104)

• Edge: 8.9%
• Probability: 57.9%
• Game: Braves vs. Phillies (1:10PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Aaron Nola under 5.5 strikeouts for Philadelphia, showing an edge of 8.9% at +104 odds.

Clay Holmes under 4.5 strikeouts (+102)

• Edge: 8.1%
• Probability: 57.6%
• Game: Cubs vs. Marlins (1:40PM ET)

Clay Holmes’s strikeouts prop shows an edge of 8.1% at +102 odds, supported by a 57.6% probability according to our model.

Garrett Stubbs to get a hit (-110)

• Edge: 4.5%
• Probability: 56.9%
• Game: Braves vs. Phillies (1:10PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Garrett Stubbs to get a hit for Philadelphia, with a 56.9% probability and a 4.5% edge at -110 odds.

Gavin Williams under 17.5 outs recorded (+103)

• Edge: 7.2%
• Probability: 56.4%
• Game: Tigers vs. Guardians (1:40PM ET)

The data shows value on Gavin Williams under 17.5 outs recorded, supported by a 56.4% probability at +103 odds and an edge of 7.2%.

Michael King under 5.5 strikeouts (+101)

• Edge: 5.9%
• Probability: 55.7%
• Game: Yankees vs. Padres (4:10PM ET)

A 5.9% edge on the under 17.5 strikeouts line makes Michael King a value play in Yankees vs. Padres, supported by a 55.7% probability at +101 odds.

Christian Vázquez to get a hit (+111)

• Edge: 8.0%
• Probability: 55.4%
• Game: D-Backs vs. Astros (2:10PM ET)

Simulations show value on Christian Vázquez to get a hit here, with a 55.4% probability and 8.0% edge at +111 odds.

MLB player prop summary: Sunday, September 6, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 12:57AM ET:

Conclusion

For September 6, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Paul Skenes, Justin Crawford and Tyler Mahle. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.