Alex Michelsen vs. Tomas Martin Etcheverry prediction, odds, picks for US Open 2026

Alex Michelsen will take on Tomas Martin Etcheverry in the fourth round of the US Open Men's Singles 2026 on Sunday.

Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Alex Michelsen as the most likely winner in this Michelsen vs. Etcheverry prediction.

This article offers a closer look at Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.

Michelsen vs. Etcheverry prediction and odds

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's Michelsen-Etcheverry men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives Michelsen a 78% chance of defeating Etcheverry in the US Open 2026.

Additionally, Michelsen has a 71% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Michelsen (-4.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 39.5 games has a 63% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Tomas Etcheverry +250, Alex Michelsen -285
• First Set: Michelsen -227, Etcheverry +175

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Michelsen @ -285 via DraftKings
• First Set: Etcheverry @ -133 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 39.5 total games.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The US Open 2026 match between Alex Michelsen and Tomas Martin Etcheverry is scheduled to commence on Sunday at 2:30 PM ET.

• Who: Alex Michelsen vs. Tomas Martin Etcheverry
• Date: Sunday, September 6, 2026
• Approx. Time: 2:30 PM ET/11:30AM PT
• Tournament: US Open Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Fourth round

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Alex Michelsen, with a 78% win probability, will likely beat Tomas Etcheverry at the US Open 2026.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.