Aryna Sabalenka vs. Taylor Townsend prediction, odds, picks for US Open 2026

Aryna Sabalenka will take on Taylor Townsend in the fourth round of the US Open Women's Singles 2026 on Sunday.

Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Aryna Sabalenka as the most likely winner in this Sabalenka vs. Townsend prediction.

This article offers further insights into Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.

Sabalenka vs. Townsend prediction and odds

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's Sabalenka-Townsend women's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives Sabalenka an 82% chance of winning against Townsend in the US Open 2026.

Additionally, Sabalenka has a 77% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Sabalenka (-4.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 21.5 games has a 57% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Taylor Townsend +400, Aryna Sabalenka -490
• First Set: Sabalenka -357, Townsend +275

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Sabalenka @ -490 via DraftKings
• First Set: Townsend @ -150 via DraftKings

According to our best tennis bets, the top play to make on this match is over 21.5 total games.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The US Open 2026 match between Aryna Sabalenka and Taylor Townsend is scheduled to commence on Sunday at 11:30 AM ET.

• Who: Aryna Sabalenka vs. Taylor Townsend
• Date: Sunday, September 6, 2026
• Approx. Time: 11:30 AM ET/8:30AM PT
• Tournament: US Open Women's Singles 2026
• Round: Fourth round

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Aryna Sabalenka, with an 82% win probability, will likely beat Taylor Townsend at the US Open 2026.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.