Best bets today for all sports: Sunday's picks include Iga Swiatek vs. Emiliana Arango tennis play [8/16/2026]

Tennis: Emiliana Arango +7.5 games (-106)

• Edge: 15.9%
• Probability: 67.4%
• Tennis matchup: Iga Swiatek vs. Emiliana Arango (12:10PM ET)

Our model has identified value on Emiliana Arango +7.5 games at -106 odds in their matchup at WTA Cincinnati Open. A 67.4% probability produces an edge of 15.9%, making this the strongest play for today's sports action.

Tennis: Emiliana Arango vs. Iga Swiatek Over 16.5 total games (-110)

• Edge: 15.8%
• Probability: 68.2%
• WNBA matchup: Iga Swiatek vs. Emiliana Arango (12:10PM ET)

At WTA Cincinnati Open, Iga Swiatek vs. Emiliana Arango over 16.5 total games carries a 15.8% edge and a probability of 68.2% at -110 odds, according to our model.

WNBA: Mercury ML (-186)

• Edge: 8.4%
• Probability: 73.4%
• WNBA Matchup: Fire vs. Mercury (7:00PM ET)

Mercury ML at -186 odds shows a 8.4% edge, supported by a 73.4% probability in simulations.

WNBA: Dream ML (-115)

• Edge: 8.3%
• Probability: 61.8%
• WNBA Matchup: Fever vs. Dream (5:00PM ET)

An 8.3% edge and 61.8% probability makes Dream at the moneyline a value play in the Fever vs. Dream matchup, per our model.

MLB: Yankees vs. Blue Jays Over 7.5 runs (+117)

• Edge: 8.0%
• Probability: 54.1%
• MLB Matchup: Yankees vs. Blue Jays (1:37PM ET)

Yankees vs. Blue Jays Over 7.5 runs at +117 odds presents a 8.0% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 54.1%.

Liga MX: Cruz Azul ML (+125)

• Edge: 6.0%
• Probability: 50.4%
• Liga MX Matchup: Cruz Azul vs. Club Tijuana (11:00PM ET)

Our model finds value on Cruz Azul to win at +125 odds, supported by an edge of 6.0%.

Liga MX: Club America ML (-180)

• Edge: 5.7%
• Probability: 70%
• Liga MX Matchup: San Luis vs. Club America (7:00PM ET)

Our model has uncovered value on San Luis-Club America to finish as a tie after 90 minutes at -180 odds. A 70% probability produces a 5.7% edge, making this a strong play for today's Liga MX action.

WNBA: Mercury -5.5 (+104)

• Edge: 5.4%
• Probability: 54.5%
• WNBA Matchup: Fire vs. Mercury (7:00PM ET)

A 5.4% edge on a 54.5% probability makes Mercury -5.5 at +104 odds a solid value play in today's Fire vs. Mercury matchup.

MLB: Dodgers ML (-160)

• Edge: 5.4%
• Probability: 67%
• MLB Matchup: Brewers vs. Dodgers (4:10PM ET)

Our model projects value on Dodgers to win at -160 odds. A 67% probability produces a 5.4% edge, making Dodgers the favorable ML play in today's MLB matchup.

Tennis: Brandon Nakashima -3.5 (-110)

• Edge: 5.4%
• Probability: 57.8%
• Tennis Matchup: Brandon Nakashima vs. Aleksandar Kovacevic (1:20PM ET)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Brandon Nakashima -3.5 at -110 odds shows a 57.8% probability and a 5.4% edge.

Best sports bets today summary: Sunday, 8/16/2026

As of 4:05AM ET, here are our top bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming matchups to bet on now [8/16/2026]

• La Liga: Villareal vs. Racing Santander (11:00AM ET, Sunday)
• Tennis: Elena Rybakina vs. Taylor Townsend (11:00AM ET, Sunday)
• Tennis: Sara Bejlek vs. Barbora Krejcikova (11:00AM ET, Sunday)
• Tennis: Viktorija Golubic vs. Janice Tjen (11:00AM ET, Sunday)
• Tennis: Casper Ruud vs. Christopher O'Connell (11:00AM ET, Sunday)
• Tennis: Mirra Andreeva vs. Oleksandra Oliynykova (11:00AM ET, Sunday)
• Tennis: Michael Zheng vs. Ugo Humbert (11:00AM ET, Sunday)
• Tennis: Daniil Medvedev vs. Marco Trungelliti (11:00AM ET, Sunday)
• Tennis: Donna Vekic vs. Xinyu Wang (11:00AM ET, Sunday)
• Tennis: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas (12:10PM ET, Sunday)

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Conclusion

Our best bets are locked and loaded for August 16, 2026, featuring plays such as Emiliana Arango +7.5 games vs. Iga Swiatek and over 16.5 total games also in the Iga Swiatek vs. Emiliana Arango matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are grounded in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.