Oct 4, 2026
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Read Article Best bets today for all sports: Monday's picks include Yankees vs. Rays MLB play [10/5/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get the best bets for Monday, October 5, 2026.
Today’s best sports bets for October 5, 2026 are here, with Yankees vs. Rays and White Sox vs. Guardians in the MLB among the top plays identified by our model across Monday’s action.
Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, searching the latest odds to uncover genuine betting edges. The result? Data-backed picks that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.
List of best bets for today [10/5, updated 3:03AM ET]
Below, you’ll find today’s best bets, ranked by edge for Monday, October 5, 2026.
MLB: Yankees vs. Rays Over 6.5 runs (-104)
- Edge: 6.7%
- Probability: 57.7%
- MLB matchup: Yankees vs. Rays (8:00PM ET)
Our model has identified value on Over 6.5 runs in Yankees vs. Rays at 51¢ odds. A 57.7% probability produces an edge of 6.7%, making this the strongest play for today's sports action.
MLB: White Sox vs. Guardians Over 6.5 runs (-111)
- Edge: 6.5%
- Probability: 59.2%
- NFL matchup: White Sox vs. Guardians (5:00PM ET)
White Sox vs. Guardians over 6.5 runs carries a 6.5% edge and a probability of 59.2% at 53¢ odds, according to our model.
NFL: Saints ML (-113)
- Edge: 4.3%
- Probability: 57.3%
- NFL Matchup: Falcons vs. Saints (8:15PM ET)
Saints ML at 53¢ odds shows a 4.3% edge, supported by a 57.3% probability in simulations.
Tennis: Novak Djokovic ML (+120)
- Edge: 2.2%
- Probability: 46.7%
- Tennis Matchup: Novak Djokovic vs. Daniil Medvedev (7:00AM ET)
A 2.2% edge and 46.7% probability makes Novak Djokovic at the moneyline a value play in the Novak Djokovic vs. Daniil Medvedev matchup, per our model.
Best sports bets today summary: Monday, 10/5/2026
As of 3:03AM ET, here are our top bets by edge recommended by our model:
| Matchup | Bet | Odds | Edge | Prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yankees vs. Rays (MLB) | Over 6.5 runs | 51¢ @ Novig | 6.7% | 57.7% |
| White Sox vs. Guardians (MLB) | Over 6.5 runs | 53¢ @ Novig | 6.5% | 59.2% |
| Falcons vs. Saints (NFL) | Saints ML | 53¢ @ Novig | 4.3% | 57.3% |
| Djokovic vs. Medvedev (Tennis) | Novak Djokovic ML | +120 @ Caesars | 2.2% | 46.7% |
List of upcoming events to bet on now [10/5/2026]
- Tennis: Hubert Hurkacz vs. Alex de Minaur (3:20AM ET, Monday)
- Tennis: Elina Svitolina vs. Maria Sakkari (4:10AM ET, Monday)
- Tennis: Elise Mertens vs. Jelena Ostapenko (4:30AM ET, Monday)
- Tennis: Valentin Vacherot vs. Jiri Lehecka (5:00AM ET, Monday)
- Tennis: Daniil Medvedev vs. Novak Djokovic (7:00AM ET, Monday)
- MLB: White Sox vs. Guardians (5:00PM ET, Monday)
- NHL: Flyers vs. Lightning (7:00PM ET, Monday)
- NHL: Jets vs. Penguins (7:30PM ET, Monday)
- NHL: Senators vs. Bruins (7:30PM ET, Monday)
- MLB: Yankees vs. Rays (8:00PM ET, Monday)
Conclusion
Our best bets are locked and loaded for October 5, 2026, featuring plays such as over 6.5 runs in the Yankees vs. Rays matchup and over 6.5 runs in the White Sox vs. Guardians matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.
Our predictions are rooted in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.
All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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