Club Leon vs. Toluca prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [10/24/2026]

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Saturday's Liga MX game between Club Leon and Toluca, forming part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model indicates a 30.3% chance of Club Leon winning, a 46.8% chance for Toluca, and a 22.9% chance of a draw. Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 62.5% chance of going over., with a 63.3% probability that both teams score.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Toluca -120, Club Leon +300
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-220/+176)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Club Leon @ +300 via FanDuel
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +176 via FanDuel

According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Club Leon to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score and BTTS projections

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

• Club Leon 1-1 Toluca (10.2% probability)
• Club Leon 1-2 Toluca (9.2%)
• Club Leon 0-1 Toluca (7.2%)

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 63.3% chance of both Club Leon and Toluca finding the net and a 36.7% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's Liga MX matchup between Club Leon and Toluca is scheduled to start at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Club Leon vs. Toluca
• Date: Saturday, October 24, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00 PM PT

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Club Leon has a 30.3% win probability on Saturday, Toluca has a 46.8% win probability, and there is a 22.9% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Liga MX prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.