Jul 10, 2026
Polymarket Promo Code DIMERS secures a $50 bonus for Spain vs. Belgium
Read Article As Argentina face Switzerland in the World Cup quarterfinals, Polymarket and Kalshi promo code "DIMERS" extends $50 + $10 bonuses into Saturday's matches
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Written by Sina Torki, Sports Writer
Reviewed by Nick Slade
Saturday July 11 delivers two World Cup quarterfinals, and both Polymarket and Kalshi have full prop markets live on each contest. Norway face England at 5:00 PM EDT at Hard Rock Stadium, followed by Argentina — fresh off their quarterfinal win over Egypt — taking on Switzerland at 9:00 PM EDT at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City. Both matches are on FOX. England are clear favorites in the first match while Argentina and Switzerland present a tighter picture than their headline numbers might suggest. Traders on both platforms can access sign-up bonuses using promo code DIMERS: deposit $20 on Polymarket and receive $50 in trading funds, or trade $10 on Kalshi and receive a $10 bonus.
Norway vs England — July 11, 5:00 PM EDT
England are the more comfortable favorites of Saturday's two matches. On Polymarket, England hold a 52% regulation time win probability with a draw at 26% and Norway at 23%, and the team-to-advance market sits at England 64.75¢ and Norway 35.50¢. On Kalshi, England are 64% to advance and Norway 36% — both platforms in tight alignment. Norway's entire tournament has been defined by their ability to stay competitive against better-ranked opponents, and the 26% draw on Polymarket reflects genuine trader respect for that capacity.
| Market | Polymarket | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|
| England advances | 52% (reg time) / 65% (advance) | 64% |
| Draw (reg time) | 26% | 27% |
| Norway advances | 23% (reg time) / 36% (advance) | 36% |
| England -1.5 spread | — | 27% |
| Over 2.5 goals | — | 56% |
| England over 1.5 goals | — | 55% |
| Norway over 1.5 goals | — | 33% |
The England -1.5 spread at just 27% on Kalshi is the defining prop in this market. Despite England being 64% to advance, a comfortable multi-goal margin is priced as a one-in-four outcome — reflecting the match being Norway's Norway over 1.5 goals sits at a relatively modest 33%, suggesting the most likely Norwegian contribution is a single goal at most. Combined with England over 1.5 at 55% and the over 2.5 goals at 56%, the consensus picture is a competitive, moderately higher-scoring match that England edge rather than dominate.
Argentina vs Switzerland — July 11, 9:00 PM EDT
Argentina arrive at this quarterfinal on the back of their win over Egypt, and both Polymarket and Kalshi have settled into near-identical readings on their chances against Switzerland. Polymarket's regulation time market has Argentina at 58%, a draw at 27%, and Switzerland at 16%. The team-to-advance market goes further: Argentina 74¢, Switzerland 27¢. Kalshi has Argentina advancing at 72% and Switzerland at 28% — both platforms pricing Argentina as solid but not dominant favorites, with a 27-28% draw probability reflecting genuine Swiss defensive threat over 90 minutes.
| Market | Polymarket | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|
| Argentina advances | 58% (reg time) / 74% (advance) | 72% |
| Draw (reg time) | 27% | 27% |
| Switzerland advances | 16% (reg time) / 27% (advance) | 28% |
| Argentina -1.5 spread | — | 30% |
| Over 2.5 goals | — | 42% |
| Argentina over 1.5 goals | — | 50% |
| Switzerland over 0.5 goals | — | 54% |
The prop suite on Kalshi paints a picture of a tight, cagey quarterfinal. Argentina -1.5 at 30% means a comfortable margin is a one-in-three outcome despite 72% overall advance odds — one of the wider gaps of any quarterfinal this round. Switzerland over 0.5 goals at 54% means traders believe Switzerland get on the scoresheet more often than not, and with the under on 2.5 goals favored at 58%, a 1-0 Argentine win or a 1-1 draw heading to extra time are the most coherent single results across all these numbers simultaneously. For broader World Cup coverage, the Dimers prediction market insights hub is updated after every match. For a primer on how prediction markets process knockout round football, the Dimers guide covers the mechanics in detail.
Promo Code DIMERS: Active on Polymarket and Kalshi for Both Matches
| Polymarket | Kalshi | |
|---|---|---|
| Promo code | DIMERS | DIMERS |
| New user bonus | Deposit $20, Get $50 | Trade $10, Get $10 |
| Norway vs England | Trade on Polymarket | Trade on Kalshi |
| Argentina vs Switzerland | Trade on Polymarket | Trade on Kalshi |
Enter DIMERS at registration on either platform. The code cannot be applied to an existing account. The Polymarket promo code DIMERS has been verified through July 2026 and unlocks $50 in trading funds when you sign up and deposit $20. Full details on the Polymarket offer are available on the Dimers Polymarket promo code page. To trade either match on Kalshi with promo code DIMERS, sign up here.
Polymarket is a prediction market platform, not a sportsbook. Users trade positions on event outcomes using real funds. Must be 18+ and eligible under applicable law. Trading involves risk. Bonus subject to Polymarket's current terms and conditions. Offer valid for new accounts only.
Kalshi: Must be 18 years or older and have a legal, U.S. residential address within the applicable state, D.C., or U.S. territories. Not available in AZ, IL, MA, MD, MI, MT, NJ, and OH.
To give you the most accurate and helpful information, this article has been reviewed and edited by Nick Slade through our fact-checking process.
Sina brings a unique blend of digital expertise and sports acumen to his writing. He leverages deep research and his own on-field experience to deliver accurate, actionable insights to readers and sports bettors alike.
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