Jul 2, 2026
As Spain, Portugal and Switzerland enter Round of 32 action, Polymarket and Kalshi promo code "DIMERS" extends $50 + $10 bonuses into Thursday's World Cup matches
Read Article As Egypt, Argentina and Colombia enter Round of 32 action, Polymarket and Kalshi promo code "DIMERS" extends $50 + $10 bonuses into Friday's World Cup matches
Written by Sina Torki, Sports Writer
Reviewed by Nick Slade
Friday July 3 brings three Round of 32 matches that span the full competitive range, and both Polymarket and Kalshi have full prop markets live on Australia vs Egypt at 2:00 PM EDT, Argentina vs Cabo Verde at 6:00 PM EDT, and Colombia vs Ghana at 9:30 PM EDT. Egypt are a moderate favorite over Australia, Argentina are an overwhelming favorite over Cabo Verde, and Colombia sit as comfortable but not dominant favorites against Ghana. Traders on both platforms can access sign-up bonuses using promo code DIMERS: deposit $20 on Polymarket and receive $50 in trading funds, or trade $10 on Kalshi and receive a $10 bonus.
Australia vs Egypt — July 3, 2:00 PM EDT
The closest match of the day. Kalshi has Egypt advancing at 55% against Australia's 45% — a genuine toss-up by World Cup standards. Polymarket's three-way regulation time market shows an even tighter picture: Egypt 39%, draw 34%, Australia just 29%. The draw sitting above Australia's outright win probability is a notable signal — traders see a stalemate as more likely than an Australian victory in regulation.
| Market | Polymarket | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|
| Egypt advances | 39% (reg time win) | 55% |
| Draw (reg time) | 34% | — |
| Australia advances | 29% (reg time win) | 45% |
| Egypt -1.5 spread | — | 16% |
| Over 1.5 goals | — | 61% |
| Australia over 0.5 goals | — | 61% |
| Egypt over 0.5 goals | — | 71% |
The Egypt -1.5 spread at just 16% on Kalshi is the clearest takeaway: even though Egypt are favored to advance, a comfortable multi-goal margin is priced as a long shot. Both teams scoring over 0.5 at 61% and 71% respectively suggests an open, back-and-forth match is the consensus expectation rather than a one-sided affair.
Argentina vs Cabo Verde — July 3, 6:00 PM EDT
The most lopsided match of the day by a wide margin. Polymarket's regulation time market has Argentina at 85%, a draw at 12%, and Cabo Verde at just 4.7%, with the team-to-advance market going further to Argentina 92¢. Kalshi has Argentina advancing at 91%. This is the clearest favorite of the entire round so far.
| Market | Polymarket | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|
| Argentina advances | 85% (reg time) / 92% (advance) | 91% |
| Draw (reg time) | 12% | — |
| Cabo Verde advances | 4.7% (reg time) / 10% (advance) | 9% |
| Argentina -1.5 spread | — | 61% |
| Over 2.5 goals | — | 58% |
| Argentina over 2.5 goals | — | 48% |
| Cabo Verde over 0.5 goals | — | 34% |
This is the only match of the day where the spread market actually favors the favorite covering — Argentina -1.5 at 61% on Kalshi makes a multi-goal margin the single most likely specific outcome category, consistent with the lopsided overall probability. Cabo Verde over 0.5 at just 34% reinforces that a clean sheet for Argentina is the more probable scenario than Cabo Verde finding the net.
Colombia vs Ghana — July 3, 9:30 PM EDT
A comfortable but not overwhelming Colombian favorite scenario. Polymarket's regulation time market has Colombia at 65%, a draw at 25%, and Ghana at 12%, with the team-to-advance market at Colombia 80¢. Kalshi has Colombia advancing at 80% — both platforms broadly aligned on a clear but not certain Colombian path forward.
| Market | Polymarket | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|
| Colombia advances | 65% (reg time) / 80% (advance) | 80% |
| Draw (reg time) | 25% | — |
| Ghana advances | 12% (reg time) / 22% (advance) | 20% |
| Colombia -1.5 spread | — | 38% |
| Over 2.5 goals | — | 42% |
| Colombia over 1.5 goals | — | 55% |
| Ghana over 0.5 goals | — | 45% |
Colombia vs Ghana sits in the middle ground between the day's other two matches. The Colombia -1.5 spread at 38% on Kalshi, combined with the under on 2.5 goals favored at 58%, points toward a controlled, lower-scoring Colombian win rather than either a rout or a genuine upset threat. Ghana over 0.5 at 45% suggests Colombia's defense is given a real but not dominant edge. For broader World Cup coverage, the Dimers prediction market insights hub is updated after every match. For a primer on how prediction markets process live sporting events, the Dimers guide covers the mechanics in detail.
Promo Code DIMERS: Active on Polymarket and Kalshi for All Three Matches
| Polymarket | Kalshi | |
|---|---|---|
| Promo code | DIMERS | DIMERS |
| New user bonus | Deposit $20, Get $50 | Trade $10, Get $10 |
| Australia vs Egypt | Trade on Polymarket | Trade on Kalshi |
| Argentina vs Cabo Verde | Trade on Polymarket | Trade on Kalshi |
| Colombia vs Ghana | Trade on Polymarket | Trade on Kalshi |
Enter DIMERS at registration on either platform. The code cannot be applied to an existing account. The Polymarket promo code DIMERS has been verified through June 2026 and unlocks $50 in trading funds when you sign up and deposit $20. Full details on the Polymarket offer are available on the Dimers Polymarket promo code page. To trade any of today's matches on Kalshi with promo code DIMERS, sign up here.
Polymarket is a prediction market platform, not a sportsbook. Users trade positions on event outcomes using real funds. Must be 18+ and eligible under applicable law. Trading involves risk. Bonus subject to Polymarket's current terms and conditions. Offer valid for new accounts only.
Kalshi: Must be 18 years or older and have a legal, U.S. residential address within the applicable state, D.C., or U.S. territories. Not available in AZ, IL, MA, MD, MI, MT, NJ, and OH.
To give you the most accurate and helpful information, this article has been reviewed and edited by Nick Slade through our fact-checking process.
Sina brings a unique blend of digital expertise and sports acumen to his writing. He leverages deep research and his own on-field experience to deliver accurate, actionable insights to readers and sports bettors alike.
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