Sunderland vs. Chelsea prediction, odds, Premier League picks [11/8/2026]

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Sunday's Premier League match between Sunderland and Chelsea, forming part of our Premier League predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model suggests a 27.6% chance of Sunderland winning, a 48.5% chance for Chelsea, and a 23.9% chance of a draw. Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 55.9% chance of going over., with a 57.7% chance that both teams score.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Chelsea +106, Sunderland +285
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-117/+113)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Sunderland @ +285 via BetRivers
• Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ -117 via Novig

According to our Premier League best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 2.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score and BTTS projections

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

• Sunderland 1-1 Chelsea (11.2% probability)
• Sunderland 1-2 Chelsea (9.5%)
• Sunderland 0-1 Chelsea (9.1%)

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 57.7% chance of both sides finding the net and a 42.3% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.

Game info & kickoff details

Sunday's Premier League game between Sunderland and Chelsea at Stadium of Light is scheduled to start in the United States at 9:00 AM ET.

• Who: Sunderland vs. Chelsea
• Date: Sunday, November 8, 2026
• Time: 9:00 AM ET/6:00 AM PT
• Venue: Stadium of Light

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Sunderland has a 27.6% win probability on Sunday, Chelsea has a 48.5% win probability, and there is a 23.9% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Premier League prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.