WNBA Prop Picks: Why you should ladder this prop in Mercury vs. Sparks [July 22, 2026]
Check out one bet to make in Wednesday's Mercury vs. Sparks afternoon matchup on July 22.
WNBA betting prepares to go on All-Star Break with a six-game slate on Wednesday, July 22, led off by a pair of afternoon games, including Mercury vs. Sparks.
Before we roll out our "one bet per game" article series for the night slate, we've got a top prop to target in the aforementioned Mercury-Sparks game, centered around one player who stands out in the Dimers Pro WNBA player projections.
The Dimers Pro model provides advanced simulations for every WNBA game, from game lines and player props to boxscore projections and more, identifying valuable betting opportunities where we say the sportsbooks are wrong, precisely how we predicted three of last year's four WNBA finalists and eventual champion, as well as the recent profitable run we've had in our WNBA article series.
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The best ladder bet in Mercury vs. Sparks on Wednesday, July 22
Three key datapoints signal today's prop target in Mercury vs. Sparks: a Dimers prop edge, a plus-money projection and the head-to-head statistical matchup.
Kahleah Copper points ladder
Game: Mercury vs. Sparks
Only one player projects for more points than Kahleah Copper on Wednesday, and that's A'Ja Wilson, who could be a good ladder targe ton our own vs. the Washington Mystics.
But here, we're looking at Copper, the Mercury's top scorer by more than six points over the next, averaging 20.5 points per game this year, exactly what her line is vs. the Sparks on Wednesday.
Los Angeles has the worst per game defense in the WNBA, allowing 93.6 points on 47.6% shooting, and Copper has taken advantage of this before
Since Copper dropped 41 on this Sparks team in the Commissioner's Cup, she's cleared this line in 8 of 13 games, also including a 22-point outing against the Sparks as well. She gets a 55.0% probability to go over tonight according to our model, with a 2.6% edge against odds of -110, setting up the first rung of the ladder.
![1784659515961 - Subscriber analysis - WNBA Prop Picks: Why you should ladder this prop in Mercury vs. Sparks [July 22, 2026]](https://cdn.cosmicjs.com/51338300-8534-11f1-890a-7b39a0258689-1784659515961.png)
Our model projects Copper for 22.8, clearing her line by a full bucket and then some, also putting her projection right in plus-money territory.
Fanatics Sportsbook has the most options available, with the opportunity to bet in 1-point increments, but if you take her right at her projection, you can get get the next rung of the ladder at 23+ and +140 odds.
From there, you'll be betting above the Dimers projection, but at increasingly longer odds, the payout increases as well.
If you go by Copper's recent performances, she's hit 25+ in 7 games from the previously mentioned streak, and 30+ in 2 of them.
See a breakdown of one way to bet this ladder below, using the odds available at Fanatics Sportsbook.
| Prop | Odds |
|---|---|
| 21+ Points | -105 |
| 23+ Points | +140 |
| 25+ Points | +200 |
| 30+ Points | +500 |
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
