Colts vs. Steelers: NFL Week 5 Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' Colts vs. Steelers prediction for Sunday, October 11, 2026. Win probabilities, projected final score, current odds, and picks from our NFL machine learning models.
NFL
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NFL sport icon
NFL
Colts
Predicted score
22
:
24
Acrisure Stadium
Steelers
Acrisure Stadium
Pre-Game Probabilities Last Update:

Spread

Colts +2.5
Spread
  • Colts
    53.0%
    DraftKingsDraftKings
  • Steelers
    47.0%
    DraftKingsDraftKings

Colts vs. Steelers: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: NFL Week 5

  • Teams: Indianapolis Colts vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
  • Date: Sunday, October 11, 2026
  • Time: 1:00PM ET
  • Venue: Acrisure Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Colts (+2.5, -110), Steelers (-2.5, -110)
  • Moneyline: Colts +120, Steelers -131
  • Total (Over/Under): 47.5 points (-110/-110)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Colts: 43.9%
  • Steelers: 56.1%

These probabilities come from two machine learning models that assess more than 100 data points for each NFL matchup, combining their outputs to project all our major betting markets.

Projected final score

Our predicted final score for this NFL matchup is Colts 22-23 Steelers.

This prediction draws on each team's scoring trends and player stats, weighed across both of our data models.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

The numbers give the Colts a win probability of 43.9%, while the Steelers have a win probability of 56.1%.

Summary

The Colts face off against the Steelers in the NFL at Acrisure Stadium on Sunday, October 11, 2026.

Our Colts vs. Steelers predictions, built on real-time data and matchup-specific modeling, help guide your decisions.. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert NFL predictions and the best NFL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NFL props, NFL futures, NFL odds, and the latest NFL news.