Alex Michelsen vs. Tomas Martin Etcheverry prediction, odds, picks for US Open 2026

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's Michelsen-Etcheverry men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives Michelsen a 78% chance of winning against Etcheverry in the US Open 2026.

Additionally, Michelsen has a 71% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Michelsen (-5.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 39.5 games has a 62% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Tomas Etcheverry +260, Alex Michelsen -333
• First Set: Michelsen -227, Etcheverry +175

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Michelsen @ -333 via DraftKings
• First Set: Etcheverry @ -133 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Alex Michelsen to win the first set.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The US Open 2026 match between Alex Michelsen and Tomas Martin Etcheverry is scheduled to start on Sunday at 2:30 PM ET.

• Who: Alex Michelsen vs. Tomas Martin Etcheverry
• Date: Sunday, September 6, 2026
• Approx. Time: 2:30 PM ET/11:30AM PT
• Tournament: US Open Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Fourth round

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Alex Michelsen, with a 78% win probability, will likely beat Tomas Etcheverry at the US Open 2026.

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