Aryna Sabalenka vs. Linda Noskova prediction, odds, picks for US Open 2026

Aryna Sabalenka will take on Linda Noskova in the quarterfinals of the US Open Women's Singles 2026 on Tuesday.

Dimers' proven tennis model projects Aryna Sabalenka as the most likely winner in this Sabalenka vs. Noskova prediction.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Tuesday's match, including best bets and picks.

Sabalenka vs. Noskova prediction and odds

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Tuesday's Sabalenka-Noskova women's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Sabalenka a 72% chance of beating Noskova in the US Open 2026.

Additionally, Sabalenka has a 69% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Sabalenka (-3.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 22.5 games has a 55% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Linda Noskova +215, Aryna Sabalenka -238
• First Set: Sabalenka -227, Noskova +175

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Noskova @ +215 via DraftKings
• First Set: Noskova @ -125 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Linda Noskova to win.

Although Noskova is less than likely to win, she provides the best value at the current available odds.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The US Open 2026 match between Aryna Sabalenka and Linda Noskova is scheduled to start on Tuesday at 11:30 AM ET.

• Who: Aryna Sabalenka vs. Linda Noskova
• Date: Tuesday, September 8, 2026
• Approx. Time: 11:30 AM ET/8:30AM PT
• Tournament: US Open Women's Singles 2026
• Round: Quarterfinals

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Aryna Sabalenka, with a 72% win probability, will likely beat Linda Noskova at the US Open 2026.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.