Sep 5, 2026
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Read Article Ben Shelton vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas prediction, odds, picks for US Open 2026
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Written by Mac Douglass, Senior Editor
Get Shelton vs Tsitsipas predictions for US Open 2026.
Ben Shelton and Stefanos Tsitsipas will lock horns in the fourth round of the US Open 2026 on Sunday.
Dimers' proven tennis model projects Ben Shelton as the most likely winner in this Shelton vs. Tsitsipas prediction.
This article offers further insights into Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.
Shelton vs. Tsitsipas prediction and odds
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's Shelton-Tsitsipas men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives Shelton a 70% chance of defeating Tsitsipas in the US Open 2026.
Additionally, Shelton has a 65% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Shelton (-4.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 41.5 games has a 61% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Latest betting odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
- Moneyline: Stefanos Tsitsipas +210, Ben Shelton -243
- First Set: Shelton -189, Tsitsipas +150
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Moneyline: Shelton @ -243 via DraftKings
- First Set: Tsitsipas @ -128 via DraftKings
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Ben Shelton to win the first set.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & first serve details
The US Open 2026 match between Ben Shelton and Stefanos Tsitsipas is scheduled to start on Sunday at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Ben Shelton vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas
- Date: Sunday, September 6, 2026
- Approx. Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Tournament: US Open Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Fourth round
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Ben Shelton, with a 70% win probability, will likely beat Stefanos Tsitsipas at the US Open 2026.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
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