Benjamin Bonzi vs. Tommy Paul prediction, odds, picks for ATP Lyon Open 2026

Benjamin Bonzi will square off with Tommy Paul in the round of 16 at the ATP Lyon event on Wednesday.

Dimers' proven tennis model projects Tommy Paul as the most likely winner in this Bonzi vs. Paul prediction.

This article offers further insights into Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.

Bonzi vs. Paul prediction and odds

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Wednesday's Bonzi-Paul men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Paul a 69% chance of defeating Bonzi at the ATP Lyon Open tournament.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Tommy Paul -278, Benjamin Bonzi +222

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Bonzi @ +222 via DraftKings
• First Set: Paul @ -120 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Benjamin Bonzi to win.

Although Bonzi is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The ATP Lyon Open match between Benjamin Bonzi and Tommy Paul is scheduled to commence on Wednesday at 2:10 PM ET.

• Who: Benjamin Bonzi vs. Tommy Paul
• Date: Wednesday, October 21, 2026
• Approx. Time: 2:10 PM ET/11:10 AM PT
• Tournament: ATP Lyon, France Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 16

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Tommy Paul, with a 69% win probability, will likely beat Benjamin Bonzi at the ATP Lyon Open tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.