Botic Van de Zandschulp vs. Daniel Merida prediction, odds, picks for ATP Shanghai Masters 2026

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Thursday's Van de Zandschulp-Merida men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model can't split the two players, giving both Van de Zandschulp and Merida a 50% chance of winning the match. Additionally, both Van de Zandschulp and Merida have an equal 50-50 chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Van de Zandschulp (+1.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 24.5 games has a 57% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Daniel Merida -111, Botic Van de Zandschulp -104
• First Set: Van de Zandschulp -111, Merida -111

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Van de Zandschulp @ -104 via DraftKings
• First Set: Merida @ -135 via DraftKings

According to our best tennis bets, the top play to make on this match is over 24.5 total games.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The ATP Shanghai Masters match between Botic Van de Zandschulp and Daniel Merida is scheduled to commence on Thursday at 3:30 AM ET.

• Who: Botic Van de Zandschulp vs. Daniel Merida
• Date: Thursday, October 8, 2026
• Approx. Time: 3:30 AM ET/12:30AM PT
• Tournament: ATP Shanghai, China Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 128

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict a close match between Van de Zandschulp and Merida on Thursday, with each player having a 50% chance of winning.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.