Brandon Nakashima vs. Sebastian Baez prediction, odds, picks for US Open 2026

Brandon Nakashima will take on Sebastian Baez in the first round of the US Open Men's Singles 2026 on Monday.

Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Brandon Nakashima as the most likely winner in this Nakashima vs. Baez prediction.

This article offers further insights into Monday's match, including best bets and picks.

Nakashima vs. Baez prediction: Who will win and advance to the second round?

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Monday's Nakashima-Baez men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Nakashima an 85% chance of winning against Baez in the US Open 2026.

Brandon Nakashima vs. Sebastian Baez odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Sebastian Baez +520, Brandon Nakashima -667

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Nakashima vs. Baez picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Baez @ +520 via DraftKings
• First Set: Baez @ -135 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Sebastian Baez to win the first set.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Nakashima vs. Baez updates and essential details

The US Open 2026 match between Brandon Nakashima and Sebastian Baez is scheduled to commence on Monday at 1:35 PM ET.

• Who: Brandon Nakashima vs. Sebastian Baez
• Date: Monday, August 31, 2026
• Approx. Time: 1:35 PM ET/10:35AM PT
• Tournament: US Open Men's Singles 2026
• Round: First round

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Brandon Nakashima, with an 85% win probability, will likely beat Sebastian Baez at the US Open 2026.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.