Daniel Merida vs. Daniil Medvedev prediction, odds, picks for ATP Vienna Open 2026

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Tuesday's Merida-Medvedev men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives Medvedev a 76% chance of beating Merida at the ATP Vienna Open tournament.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Daniil Medvedev -476, Daniel Merida +357

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Merida @ +357 via DraftKings
• First Set: Medvedev @ -125 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Daniel Merida to win.

Although Merida is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The ATP Vienna Open match between Daniel Merida and Daniil Medvedev is scheduled to start on Tuesday at 8:30 AM ET.

• Who: Daniel Merida vs. Daniil Medvedev
• Date: Tuesday, October 27, 2026
• Approx. Time: 8:30 AM ET/5:30 AM PT
• Tournament: ATP Vienna, Austria Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 32

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Daniil Medvedev, with a 76% win probability, will likely beat Daniel Merida at the ATP Vienna Open tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.