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Read Article Daniil Medvedev vs. Arthur Rinderknech prediction, odds, picks for US Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
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Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Medvedev vs Rinderknech predictions for US Open 2026.
Daniil Medvedev and Arthur Rinderknech are scheduled to meet in the third round of the US Open 2026 on Friday.
Dimers' proven tennis model projects Daniil Medvedev as the most likely winner in this Medvedev vs. Rinderknech prediction.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's match, including best bets and picks.
Medvedev vs. Rinderknech prediction and odds
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's Medvedev-Rinderknech men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives Medvedev a 74% chance of winning against Rinderknech in the US Open 2026.
Additionally, Medvedev has a 69% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Medvedev (-4.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 39.5 games has a 59% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Latest betting odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
- Moneyline: Arthur Rinderknech +230, Daniil Medvedev -277
- First Set: Medvedev -200, Rinderknech +162
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Moneyline: Medvedev @ -277 via DraftKings
- First Set: Rinderknech @ -140 via DraftKings
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 39.5 total games.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & first serve details
The US Open 2026 match between Daniil Medvedev and Arthur Rinderknech is scheduled to begin on Friday at 12:10 PM ET.
- Who: Daniil Medvedev vs. Arthur Rinderknech
- Date: Friday, September 4, 2026
- Approx. Time: 12:10 PM ET/9:10AM PT
- Tournament: US Open Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Third round
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Daniil Medvedev, with a 74% win probability, will likely beat Arthur Rinderknech at the US Open 2026.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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