Daria Kasatkina vs. Paula Badosa prediction, odds, picks for US Open 2026

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's Kasatkina-Badosa women's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Badosa a 53% chance of beating Kasatkina in the US Open 2026.

Daria Kasatkina vs. Paula Badosa odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Paula Badosa -139, Daria Kasatkina +118

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Kasatkina vs. Badosa picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Kasatkina @ +118 via DraftKings
• First Set: Badosa @ -110 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Daria Kasatkina to win.

Although Kasatkina is less than likely to win, she provides the best value at the current available odds.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Kasatkina vs. Badosa updates and essential details

The US Open 2026 match between Daria Kasatkina and Paula Badosa is scheduled to begin on Sunday at 11:00 AM ET.

• Who: Daria Kasatkina vs. Paula Badosa
• Date: Sunday, August 30, 2026
• Approx. Time: 11:00 AM ET/8:00AM PT
• Tournament: US Open Women's Singles 2026
• Round: First round

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Paula Badosa, with a 53% win probability, will likely beat Daria Kasatkina at the US Open 2026.

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