Elina Svitolina vs. Anna Kalinskaya prediction, odds, picks for US Open 2026

Elina Svitolina will face Anna Kalinskaya in the third round of the US Open Women's Singles 2026 on Friday.

Dimers' proven tennis model projects Elina Svitolina as the most likely winner in this Svitolina vs. Kalinskaya prediction.

This article offers a closer look at Friday's match, including best bets and picks.

Svitolina vs. Kalinskaya prediction and odds

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's Svitolina-Kalinskaya women's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Svitolina a 72% chance of winning against Kalinskaya in the US Open 2026.

Additionally, Svitolina has a 68% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Svitolina (-3.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 21.5 games has a 52% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Anna Kalinskaya +240, Elina Svitolina -278
• First Set: Svitolina -227, Kalinskaya +175

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Svitolina @ -278 via DraftKings
• First Set: Kalinskaya @ -120 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 21.5 total games.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The US Open 2026 match between Elina Svitolina and Anna Kalinskaya is scheduled to begin on Friday at 9:00 PM ET.

• Who: Elina Svitolina vs. Anna Kalinskaya
• Date: Friday, September 4, 2026
• Approx. Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
• Tournament: US Open Women's Singles 2026
• Round: Third round

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Elina Svitolina, with a 72% win probability, will likely beat Anna Kalinskaya at the US Open 2026.

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