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Read Article Elise Mertens vs. Liudmila Samsonova prediction, odds, picks for German Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Mac Douglass, Senior Editor
Get Mertens vs Samsonova predictions for German Open.
Elise Mertens will face Liudmila Samsonova in the round of 32 of the German Openon Monday.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Elise Mertens as the most likely winner of the Mertens vs. Samsonova match.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Monday's match, including best bets and picks.
Mertens vs. Samsonova prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 16?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Monday's Mertens-Samsonova women's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives Mertens a 61% chance of winning against Samsonova at Berlin.
Additionally, Mertens has a 59% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Samsonova (+3.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 22.5 games has a 54% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Elise Mertens vs. Liudmila Samsonova odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Mertens | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -190 | +162 |
| First Set | -189 | +150 |
| Game Spread | -3.5 (-106) | +3.5 (-126) |
| Total Games | o22.5 (-115) | u22.5 (-125) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mertens vs. Samsonova picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Samsonova | +162 |
| First Set | Samsonova | -125 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 22.5 total games.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Mertens vs. Samsonova updates and essential details
The German Open match between Elise Mertens and Liudmila Samsonova is scheduled to start on Monday at 11:30 AM ET.
- Who: Elise Mertens vs. Liudmila Samsonova
- Date: Monday, June 15, 2026
- Approx. Time: 11:30 AM ET/8:30AM PT
- Tournament: Berlin, Germany Women's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 32
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Elise Mertens, with a 61% win probability, will likely beat Liudmila Samsonova at Berlin.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
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