Elise Mertens vs. Nikola Bartunkova prediction, odds, picks for German Open 2026

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Written by Ryan Leaver

Get Mertens vs Bartunkova predictions for German Open.

Elise Mertens vs Nikola Bartunkova Tennis Prediction.
Our Elise Mertens and Nikola Bartunkova tennis prediction is based on thousands of simulations of the upcoming match.

Elise Mertens will square off with Nikola Bartunkova in the round of 16 of the German Openon Wednesday.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Elise Mertens as the most likely winner of the Mertens vs. Bartunkova match.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.

Mertens vs. Bartunkova prediction: Who will win and advance to the quarterfinals?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's Mertens-Bartunkova women's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives Mertens a 68% chance of winning against Bartunkova at Berlin.

Additionally, Mertens has a 65% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Mertens (-3.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 22.5 games has a 56% chance of hitting, according to our model.

 

Elise Mertens vs. Nikola Bartunkova odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Bet Type Mertens Bartunkova
Moneyline -250 +205
First Set -200 +162
Game Spread -3.5 (-128) +3.5 (-106)
Total Games o22.5 (-105) u22.5 (-140)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Mertens vs. Bartunkova picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Moneyline Bartunkova +205
First Set Bartunkova -140

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Nikola Bartunkova to win.

Although Bartunkova is less than likely to win, she provides the best value at the current available odds.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Mertens vs. Bartunkova updates and essential details

The German Open match between Elise Mertens and Nikola Bartunkova is scheduled to start on Wednesday at 5:00 AM ET.

  • Who: Elise Mertens vs. Nikola Bartunkova
  • Date: Wednesday, June 17, 2026
  • Approx. Time: 5:00 AM ET/2:00AM PT
  • Tournament: Berlin, Germany Women's Singles 2026
  • Round: Round of 16

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Elise Mertens, with a 68% win probability, will likely beat Nikola Bartunkova at Berlin.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.

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