Gael Monfils vs. Learner Tien prediction, odds, picks for US Open 2026

Gael Monfils will take on Learner Tien in the second round of the US Open Men's Singles 2026 on Thursday.

Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Learner Tien as the most likely winner in this Monfils vs. Tien prediction.

This article offers a closer look at Thursday's match, including best bets and picks.

Monfils vs. Tien prediction and odds

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's Monfils-Tien men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Tien an 83% chance of winning against Monfils in the US Open 2026.

Additionally, Tien has a 75% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Tien (-6.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 35.5 games has a 57% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Learner Tien -500, Gael Monfils +440
• First Set: Monfils +240, Tien -303

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Tien @ -500 via DraftKings
• First Set: Tien @ -125 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Learner Tien to win the first set.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The US Open 2026 match between Gael Monfils and Learner Tien is scheduled to start on Thursday at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Gael Monfils vs. Learner Tien
• Date: Thursday, September 3, 2026
• Approx. Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Tournament: US Open Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Second round

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Learner Tien, with an 83% win probability, will likely beat Gael Monfils at the US Open 2026.

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