Iga Swiatek vs. Qinwen Zheng prediction, odds, picks for US Open 2026

Iga Swiatek will take on Qinwen Zheng in the fourth round of the US Open Women's Singles 2026 on Monday.

Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Iga Swiatek as the most likely winner in this Swiatek vs. Zheng prediction.

This article offers a closer look at Monday's match, including best bets and picks.

Swiatek vs. Zheng prediction and odds

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's Swiatek-Zheng women's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Swiatek a 79% chance of winning against Zheng in the US Open 2026.

Additionally, Swiatek has a 74% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Zheng (+5.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the over 20.5 games has a 51% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Qinwen Zheng +385, Iga Swiatek -500
• First Set: Swiatek -357, Zheng +275

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Zheng @ +385 via DraftKings
• First Set: Zheng @ +100 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 20.5 total games.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The US Open 2026 match between Iga Swiatek and Qinwen Zheng is scheduled to start on Monday at 11:30 AM ET.

• Who: Iga Swiatek vs. Qinwen Zheng
• Date: Monday, September 7, 2026
• Approx. Time: 11:30 AM ET/8:30AM PT
• Tournament: US Open Women's Singles 2026
• Round: Fourth round

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Iga Swiatek, with a 79% win probability, will likely beat Qinwen Zheng at the US Open 2026.

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