Iva Jovic vs. Francesca Jones prediction, odds, picks for US Open 2026

Iva Jovic will take on Francesca Jones in the second round of the US Open Women's Singles 2026 on Thursday.

Dimers' proven tennis model projects Iva Jovic as the most likely winner in this Jovic vs. Jones prediction.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's match, including best bets and picks.

Jovic vs. Jones prediction and odds

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's Jovic-Jones women's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives Jovic an 81% chance of beating Jones in the US Open 2026.

Additionally, Jovic has a 76% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Jones (+5.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the over 18.5 games has a 68% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Francesca Jones +480, Iva Jovic -625
• First Set: Jovic -455, Jones +333

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Jones @ +480 via DraftKings
• First Set: Jones @ -139 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 18.5 total games.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The US Open 2026 match between Iva Jovic and Francesca Jones is scheduled to start on Thursday at 6:20 PM ET.

• Who: Iva Jovic vs. Francesca Jones
• Date: Thursday, September 3, 2026
• Approx. Time: 6:20 PM ET/3:20PM PT
• Tournament: US Open Women's Singles 2026
• Round: Second round

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Iva Jovic, with an 81% win probability, will likely beat Francesca Jones at the US Open 2026.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.