Jakub Mensik vs. Learner Tien prediction, odds, picks for US Open 2026

Jakub Mensik and Learner Tien are scheduled to meet in the third round of the US Open 2026 on Saturday.

Dimers' proven tennis model projects Learner Tien as the most likely winner in this Mensik vs. Tien prediction.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.

Mensik vs. Tien prediction and odds

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's Mensik-Tien men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Tien a 54% chance of winning against Mensik in the US Open 2026.

Additionally, Tien has a 52% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Mensik (+1.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 39.5 games has a 58% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Learner Tien -120, Jakub Mensik +110
• First Set: Mensik +100, Tien -125

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Tien @ -120 via DraftKings
• First Set: Tien @ -130 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Learner Tien to win the first set.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The US Open 2026 match between Jakub Mensik and Learner Tien is scheduled to commence on Saturday at 8:20 PM ET.

• Who: Jakub Mensik vs. Learner Tien
• Date: Saturday, September 5, 2026
• Approx. Time: 8:20 PM ET/5:20PM PT
• Tournament: US Open Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Third round

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Learner Tien, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat Jakub Mensik at the US Open 2026.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.