James Duckworth vs. Luciano Darderi prediction, odds, picks for ATP Almaty Open 2026

James Duckworth and Luciano Darderi will meet in the round of 16 of the ATP Almaty Open event on Wednesday.

Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Luciano Darderi as the most likely winner in this Duckworth vs. Darderi prediction.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.

Duckworth vs. Darderi prediction and odds

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Wednesday's Duckworth-Darderi men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives Darderi a 51% chance of winning against Duckworth at the ATP Almaty Open tournament. Additionally, Darderi has a 51% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show that the oddsmakers have got it right with the +0.5 games spread, with each player projected to have a 50-50 chance of covering, while the under 25.5 games has a 62% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Luciano Darderi -112, James Duckworth +100
• First Set: Duckworth +100, Darderi -125

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Darderi @ -112 via DraftKings
• First Set: Darderi @ -140 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Luciano Darderi to win the first set.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The ATP Almaty Open match between James Duckworth and Luciano Darderi is scheduled to start on Wednesday at 2:30 AM ET.

• Who: James Duckworth vs. Luciano Darderi
• Date: Wednesday, October 21, 2026
• Approx. Time: 2:30 AM ET/11:30 PM PT
• Tournament: ATP Almaty, Kazakhstan Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 16

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Luciano Darderi, with a 51% win probability, will likely beat James Duckworth at the ATP Almaty Open tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.