Jessica Pegula vs. Emma Navarro prediction, odds, picks for US Open 2026

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's Pegula-Navarro women's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Pegula an 80% chance of beating Navarro in the US Open 2026.

Additionally, Pegula has a 75% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Pegula (-4.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 21.5 games has a 56% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Emma Navarro +333, Jessica Pegula -385
• First Set: Pegula -303, Navarro +240

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Pegula @ -385 via DraftKings
• First Set: Navarro @ -135 via DraftKings

According to our best tennis bets, the top play to make on this match is over 21.5 total games.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The US Open 2026 match between Jessica Pegula and Emma Navarro is scheduled to start on Tuesday at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Jessica Pegula vs. Emma Navarro
• Date: Tuesday, September 8, 2026
• Approx. Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Tournament: US Open Women's Singles 2026
• Round: Quarterfinals

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Jessica Pegula, with an 80% win probability, will likely beat Emma Navarro at the US Open 2026.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.