Jessica Pegula vs. Emma Navarro prediction, odds, picks for US Open 2026

Jessica Pegula will take on Emma Navarro in the quarterfinals of the US Open Women's Singles 2026 on Tuesday.

Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Jessica Pegula as the most likely winner in this Pegula vs. Navarro prediction.

This article offers a closer look at Tuesday's match, including best bets and picks.

Pegula vs. Navarro prediction and odds

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Tuesday's Pegula-Navarro women's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Pegula a 77% chance of beating Navarro in the US Open 2026.

Additionally, Pegula has a 73% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Pegula (-4.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 21.5 games has a 56% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Emma Navarro +327, Jessica Pegula -400
• First Set: Pegula -278, Navarro +220

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Navarro @ +327 via DraftKings
• First Set: Navarro @ -135 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 21.5 total games.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The US Open 2026 match between Jessica Pegula and Emma Navarro is scheduled to begin on Tuesday at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Jessica Pegula vs. Emma Navarro
• Date: Tuesday, September 8, 2026
• Approx. Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Tournament: US Open Women's Singles 2026
• Round: Quarterfinals

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Jessica Pegula, with a 77% win probability, will likely beat Emma Navarro at the US Open 2026.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.