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Read Article Luca Van Assche vs. Pablo Carreno Busta prediction, odds, picks for ATP Estoril Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
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Written by Damien Souness, Chief Experience Officer
Get Van Assche vs Carreno Busta predictions for ATP Estoril Open.
Luca Van Assche and Pablo Carreno Busta will meet in the round of 16 of the ATP Estoril Open event on Thursday.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Pablo Carreno Busta as the most likely winner of the Van Assche vs. Carreno Busta match.
This article offers a closer look at Thursday's match, including best bets and picks.
Van Assche vs. Carreno Busta prediction: Who will win and advance to the quarterfinals?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's Van Assche-Carreno Busta men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives Carreno Busta a 63% chance of winning against Van Assche at the ATP Estoril Open tournament.
Luca Van Assche vs. Pablo Carreno Busta odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Van Assche | Carreno Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +188 | -234 |
| Game Spread | +3.5 (-118) | -3.5 (-110) |
| Total Games | o22.5 (-104) | u22.5 (-130) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Van Assche vs. Carreno Busta picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Van Assche | +188 |
| First Set | Carreno Busta | -104 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Luca Van Assche to win.
Although Van Assche is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Van Assche vs. Carreno Busta updates and essential details
The ATP Estoril Open match between Luca Van Assche and Pablo Carreno Busta is scheduled to begin on Thursday at 7:00 AM ET.
- Who: Luca Van Assche vs. Pablo Carreno Busta
- Date: Thursday, July 23, 2026
- Approx. Time: 7:00 AM ET/4:00AM PT
- Tournament: ATP Estoril, Portugal Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 16
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Pablo Carreno Busta, with a 63% win probability, will likely beat Luca Van Assche at the ATP Estoril Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
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