Madison Keys vs. Anna Bondar prediction, odds, picks for US Open 2026

Madison Keys will face Anna Bondar in the second round of the US Open Women's Singles 2026 on Thursday.

Dimers' proven tennis model projects Madison Keys as the most likely winner in this Keys vs. Bondar prediction.

This article offers further insights into Thursday's match, including best bets and picks.

Keys vs. Bondar prediction and odds

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Thursday's Keys-Bondar women's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Keys an 86% chance of defeating Bondar in the US Open 2026.

Additionally, Keys has an 81% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Bondar (+5.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the **over/under of 19.5 games has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Anna Bondar +600, Madison Keys -901
• First Set: Keys -625, Bondar +400

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Bondar @ +600 via DraftKings
• First Set: Bondar @ -105 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 19.5 total games.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The US Open 2026 match between Madison Keys and Anna Bondar is scheduled to begin on Thursday at 11:00 AM ET.

• Who: Madison Keys vs. Anna Bondar
• Date: Thursday, September 3, 2026
• Approx. Time: 11:00 AM ET/8:00AM PT
• Tournament: US Open Women's Singles 2026
• Round: Second round

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Madison Keys, with an 86% win probability, will likely beat Anna Bondar at the US Open 2026.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.