Madison Keys vs. Qinwen Zheng prediction, odds, picks for US Open 2026

Madison Keys will square off with Qinwen Zheng in the third round of the US Open Women's Singles 2026 on Saturday.

Dimers' proven tennis model projects Madison Keys as the most likely winner in this Keys vs. Zheng prediction.

This article offers a closer look at Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.

Keys vs. Zheng prediction and odds

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's Keys-Zheng women's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives Keys a 57% chance of winning against Zheng in the US Open 2026.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Qinwen Zheng +150, Madison Keys -164

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Zheng @ +150 via DraftKings
• First Set: Zheng @ -120 via DraftKings

According to our best tennis bets, the top play to make on this match is Qinwen Zheng to win the first set.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The US Open 2026 match between Madison Keys and Qinwen Zheng is scheduled to start on Saturday at 11:00 AM ET.

• Who: Madison Keys vs. Qinwen Zheng
• Date: Saturday, September 5, 2026
• Approx. Time: 11:00 AM ET/8:00AM PT
• Tournament: US Open Women's Singles 2026
• Round: Third round

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Madison Keys, with a 57% win probability, will likely beat Qinwen Zheng at the US Open 2026.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.