Mariano Navone vs. Lorenzo Sonego prediction, odds, picks for ATP Mallorca Open 2026

Mariano Navone will take on Lorenzo Sonego in the round of 32 at the ATP Mallorca event on Sunday.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Lorenzo Sonego as the most likely winner of the Navone vs. Sonego match.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.

Navone vs. Sonego prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 16?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's Navone-Sonego men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives Sonego a 59% chance of winning against Navone at the ATP Mallorca Open tournament.

Additionally, Sonego has a 56% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Sonego (-1.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 23.5 games has a 56% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Mariano Navone vs. Lorenzo Sonego odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Navone	Sonego
Moneyline	+140	-146
First Set	+110	-139
Game Spread	+1.5 (-110)	-1.5 (-120)
Total Games	o23.5 (-110)	u23.5 (-130)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Navone vs. Sonego picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Moneyline	Navone	+140
First Set	Sonego	-130

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Mariano Navone to win.

Although Navone is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Navone vs. Sonego updates and essential details

The ATP Mallorca Open match between Mariano Navone and Lorenzo Sonego is scheduled to commence on Sunday at 9:00 AM ET.

• Who: Mariano Navone vs. Lorenzo Sonego
• Date: Sunday, June 21, 2026
• Approx. Time: 9:00 AM ET/6:00AM PT
• Tournament: ATP Mallorca, Spain Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 32

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Lorenzo Sonego, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat Mariano Navone at the ATP Mallorca Open tournament.

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