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Read Article Matej Dodig vs. Pablo Carreno Busta prediction, odds, picks for ATP Croatia Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Dodig vs Carreno Busta predictions for ATP Croatia Open.
Matej Dodig and Pablo Carreno Busta will meet in the round of 32 of the ATP Croatia Open event on Tuesday.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven tennis model projects Pablo Carreno Busta as the most likely winner of the Dodig vs. Carreno Busta match.
This article offers a closer look at Tuesday's match, including best bets and picks.
Dodig vs. Carreno Busta prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 16?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's Dodig-Carreno Busta men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives Carreno Busta a 67% chance of beating Dodig at the ATP Croatia Open tournament.
Matej Dodig vs. Pablo Carreno Busta odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Dodig | Carreno Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +210 | -259 |
| Game Spread | +3.5 (-108) | -3.5 (-124) |
| Total Games | o21.5 (-122) | u21.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Dodig vs. Carreno Busta picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Dodig | +210 |
| First Set | Carreno Busta | -122 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Matej Dodig to win.
Although Dodig is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Dodig vs. Carreno Busta updates and essential details
The ATP Croatia Open match between Matej Dodig and Pablo Carreno Busta is scheduled to start on Tuesday at 10:00 AM ET.
- Who: Matej Dodig vs. Pablo Carreno Busta
- Date: Tuesday, July 14, 2026
- Approx. Time: 10:00 AM ET/7:00AM PT
- Tournament: ATP Umag, Croatia Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 32
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Pablo Carreno Busta, with a 67% win probability, will likely beat Matej Dodig at the ATP Croatia Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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